Brand-launch and demand scenarios
**Result:** Ranges of financial outcomes, critical assumptions and a market-testing plan.
Explore this service ↗SAKWIN SCENARIO LAB
Scenarios for decisions you can still change.
Choose a question, agree the input data and compare options before purchasing, launching or expanding. Each project delivers a verifiable model, explicit assumptions and a plan of next steps.
Production and supply-chain modelling
**Result:** A bottleneck map, working-capital assessment and disruption-response plan based on a verifiable quantitative model.
Explore this service ↗Funding scenarios and investment readiness
**Result:** Funding scenarios and a readiness map for discussions with financial, legal and audit specialists.
Explore this service ↗Business simulations and crisis exercises
**Result:** A decision log, identified coordination gaps and an updated response plan. AI can play simulated roles; the facilitator and specialists review the conclusions.
Explore this service ↗SCENARIO LAB · USD90 DAYS / DTC
90 days. One product. Your decision.
A US direct-to-consumer beauty pilot in USD. Adjust the inputs to see the operating result before tax. Each order contains one unit.
Result updates as you change an input.
Enter values within the shown limits to update the result.
Revenue after refunds34 920.00 USD
Modelled costs31 494.00 USD
Operating result3 426.00 USD
Contribution per order6.28 USD
Break-even orders955
Open assumptions and calculation
- Fixed launch costs
- 6 000.00 USD
- Product + packaging / order
- 5.50 USD
- Fulfilment / order
- 4.50 USD
- Processing on original charge
- 2.9% + 0.30 USD
Revenue = orders × price × (1 − refund rate). Costs = orders × [product + fulfilment + acquisition + (price × 2.9% + 0.30 USD)] + fixed costs. Break-even = fixed costs ÷ contribution per order, rounded up.
All inputs except the published processing rate are illustrative assumptions. Refunds retain product, fulfilment, acquisition and original processing costs. Taxes, owner pay, financing, chargebacks and return shipping are excluded. Unsold inventory funding is separate: this is an operating model, not a cash-flow forecast or a Alse.Beauty quote.
Stripe US domestic online cards: 2.9% + 0.30 USD. Checked 27 September 2026. Other payment methods and countries differ.
Stripe · pricing ↗Stripe · refunds ↗